As Super Tuesday approaches, the media is burying the Sanders campaign, telling everyone that a Clinton nomination is now clearly inevitable. But there are five important facts that the media is leaving out, which show Sanders has a far better chance than most pundits give him.
1. Bernie is absolutely crushing Hillary in the money race
Bernie Sanders has already raised an astonishing $36 million this month from 1.2 million individual contributions — an average of $30 per donation. And with still hours to go, the Sanders campaign is trying to hustle to get $40 millionin the month of February. This is a pretty big deal, considering the campaign out-raised Hillary Clinton for the first time ever in January, with $21.3 million to her $14.9 million. This means that Bernie may end up doubling his January fundraising haul, leaving Clinton in the dust. Between the start of his campaign in April 2015 and January 31, 2016, Bernie Sanders raised $94.8 million.
2. In South Carolina, Bernie was the far-and-away favorite of voters that swing elections
Even though Hillary Clinton beat Bernie Sanders by 47 percent in South Carolina, Sanders still won key constituencies by decisive margins — these are the same demographics that typically decide general elections. Among independent voters, Sanders won by 7. Sanders also won by 8 points with voters aged 18 to 29. He also won with white male democrats by 12 points, and he completely dominated among first-time primary voters with a 26-point margin. It’s important to note these constituencies make up a small percentage of Democratic primary voters in South Carolina, where Democratic turnout in one of the reddest states in America was horrendous. The 370,000 participants in the South Carolina Democratic primary make up just 13 percent of the overall electorate. Sanders will fare far better in many of the Super Tuesday states. Speaking of which…
3. Bernie is polling very well in significant Super Tuesday states
According to respected pollster Nate Silver, Bernie Sanders is positioned take a majority of delegates in Massachusetts, Vermont, Colorado, Oklahoma, and Minnesota. In Colorado — one of the must-win swing states in November — Sanders was ahead of Clinton by 6 points in polls released 10 days ago. And in Oklahoma, Sanders has overtaken Hillary Clinton with a 5-point edge in the latest polls. He’ll likely take a significant number of delegates in Tennessee. And he may very well surprise pundits and pollsters in states like Virginia, Texas, and Arkansas, where the Democratic electorate’s demographics are more favorable to Sanders. As the Huffington Post pointed out, even if Sanders is 150 delegates behind Hillary Clinton at the end of the day on Super Tuesday, he could cut his delegate deficit by one-third if he wins California in June.
4. 96 percent of primary voters haven’t voted yet
It’s important to keep in mind that, so far, only 4 out of 50 states have voted in the Democratic primaries as of this writing. Clinton won South Carolina considerably and Nevada narrowly; Sanders tied with her in Iowa and crushed her in New Hampshire. While the primary contests leading up to March 15 are favorable to Clinton, Sanders is poised to do much better in states with large populations of true-blue Democrats like New York, Washington, Oregon, California, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Connecticut, Illinois, and Michigan. All of these states have demographics similar to Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada, where Sanders did well against Clinton.
5. The media is severely understating Bernie Sanders’ electability
As Bernie Sanders said after his South Carolina loss, the campaign is just getting started. In the last 24 hours, Sanders has already picked up endorsements from Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii) — the vice-chair of the DNC, who resigned from her post to back the Vermont senator — and Congressman Alan Grayson (D-Florida), a liberal icon who is one of the leading voices of the Congressional Progressive Caucus.
There are also three more Democratic debates in March, April, and May, which will expose Sanders to more voters in primary states holding contests later in the Spring. And for months, nationally-respected polling organizations like Quinnipiac show Sanders fares better than Hillary Clinton in general election matchups with all leading Republicans. In Ohio, which has 18 electoral votes and tends to be the state that decides presidential elections, Quinnipiac has Clinton trailing or tying with all Republican candidates.
In other words, it ain’t over yet, folks. Not by a long shot.